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Much has been written and said about horses that throw in a clinker in the race following their top effort. When a horse races very hard and scores its highest speed determine in its career handicappers fear that it may bounce in its subsequent race and run poorly. It does occur, but like everything else in horse racing there are a number of reasons and understanding them will help you to deal with this situation in your handicapping.

To begin with, let's think about what causes a horse to bounce. Horses don't read the racing form and do not care what their speed score was in their final race. They are all about how they feel. That is what matters to the horse. They must be physically fit and rested before a race and so they should even be mentally fit. What is going on in the horse's head may be very important.

If the superior effort in its earlier race tired the horse badly it could take months before it rebounds physically. Naturally, younger horses bounce back higher physically than older horses do, but that is not essentially true of their mental state. A horse that raced its heart out and lost might not need to attempt to win again. When a horse loses to a superior horse despite its best effort it does matter.

They may not do a whole lot of thinking, but they're herd animals and establish their social position by way of their ability and will. That will might suffer a direct hit if a horse was overwhelmed despite making an attempt very hard. An older horse might not care as much because it knows its place and likewise knows that another race is always coming along to ascertain itself. How can a trainer know that the horse has lost confidence or desire?

Sadly, for trainer and handicapper alike, that information doesn't always come out till after the race has started. Generally a horse will give clues to its mental condition and sometimes it won't. If a horse isn't eating enough after a big race, that is a bad sign. It normally means it needs some time off and an opportunity to regroup. Good trainers realize that and will let the horse rest.

The handicapper ought to be wary of any horse that had a big race, however that does not mean it needs to be disregarded as a possible winner. If the trainer has let it relaxation since its last race and it appears sharp and ready in the paddock it may be value a try. A drop in school, however, isn't essentially a good sign or a reason to wager on that horse.

I'd slightly see a horse that raced hard introduced back on the similar level. A drop in class might mean the trainer knows the horse is not fit to win because it is likely to bounce. Following trainers and understanding their moves will help you to determine that out.

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